Lille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1968 |
ASS
3 - 0
LIL
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1968 |
LIL
1 - 0
FCR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1968 |
NAN
2 - 1
LIL
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1968 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
RED
0 - 2
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1968 |
ASA
2 - 4
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1968 |
AJA
1 - 4
VAL
49%
23%
29%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1968 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
AJA
5 - 3
FCR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
NAN
1 - 0
AJA
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |