Lillestrom SK vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
15º
14º
26
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LSK
3 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 0
LSK
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 1
KFU
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 0
GÖT
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
LSK
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
S08
1 - 1
BBS
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
S08
4 - 1
RBK
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 2
S08
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
S08
1 - 2
BOG
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
S08
1 - 2
TRO
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |