Lillestrom SK vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
15º
14º
34
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
2 - 0
LSK
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LSK
0 - 1
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
4 - 0
LSK
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
LSK
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LSK
1 - 2
MFK
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
MFK
33%
25%
43%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 3
RBK
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
4 - 0
LSK
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
VKG
32%
24%
45%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 0
RBK
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |