Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 4-3
Lillestrom SK vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1994 |
LSK
3 - 1
BBS
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
RBK
3 - 1
LSK
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
LSK
1 - 0
VIF
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1994 |
LSK
4 - 0
TRO
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
BOG
2 - 3
LSK
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
KRY
0 - 0
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
SHA
3 - 0
SIF
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
SHA
3 - 0
KPT
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1994 |
TAV
1 - 2
SHA
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1994 |
SHA
2 - 0
CHO
48%
28%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |