Lillestrom II vs Stabæk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
13º
4º
27
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
70% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 43 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFK
4 - 0
LIL
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
6 - 0
MOS
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VER
0 - 4
LIL
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 2
MEL
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 3
LIL
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Stabæk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
ORK
71%
15%
14%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 7
STA
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 5
SKT
57%
20%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RFK
3 - 1
STA
57%
19%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |