Lillestrom II vs Rana FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
57%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
13º
4º
47
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 43 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 37 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 35 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 27 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SKT
5 - 0
LIL
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORK
4 - 2
LIL
50%
19%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
SUR
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 4
LIL
70%
16%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rana FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RFK
0 - 2
SUR
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 3
RFK
25%
19%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SKT
4 - 1
RFK
18%
18%
64%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
RFK
4 - 1
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VER
1 - 4
RFK
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |