Lillestrom II vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2015 |
NYB
2 - 2
LIL
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
LOR
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ALT
7 - 1
LIL
74%
15%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
LIL
3 - 4
DRA
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GJO
0 - 5
LIL
12%
15%
73%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 2
ORN
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
ORN
2 - 2
MJO
17%
23%
61%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ORN
1 - 0
DRA
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
KVI
3 - 0
ORN
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ORN
3 - 2
ULL
57%
21%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |