Lille U19 vs USM Saran U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
7º
2º
17
11º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
LIL
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LIL
4 - 3
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DKQ
3 - 2
LIL
35%
22%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
5 - 2
SRA
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SRA
1 - 1
CAE
19%
19%
61%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 2
DKQ
22%
20%
58%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AMI
6 - 0
SRA
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 4
REI
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |