Lille U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
5º
33
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GON
2 - 2
LIL
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 0
DRA
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AMI
4 - 2
LIL
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIL
4 - 2
REI
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 3
AMI
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
REI
1 - 0
CAE
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 2
HAV
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 2
CAE
41%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |