Lille II vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
36
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AAC
1 - 2
LIL
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
USM
1 - 5
LIL
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
IRI
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 2
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 0
VIM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
VIM
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 0
COM
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |