Lille II vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
29
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
LIL
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
4 - 0
VIM
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
LIL
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 2
LIL
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
ESL
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
PDC
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
VAL
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LEN
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AAC
2 - 3
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 3
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |