Lille II vs Sannois Gratien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
4º
14
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 49 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 43 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 2
LIL
24%
25%
50%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
VAL
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 3
LIL
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 3
REI
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
IRI
2 - 1
LIL
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sannois Gratien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 4
OLY
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
OCP
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
RCC
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |