Lille II vs Olympique Marcquois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
LIL
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
VIM
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AAC
1 - 2
LIL
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
USM
1 - 5
LIL
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 1
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |