Lille II vs Touquet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
FEI
3 - 2
LIL
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
5 - 2
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LIL
3 - 1
USM
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
LIL
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
4 - 2
LIL
12%
20%
68%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -3 |
Matches
Touquet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TOU
1 - 1
SAI
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOU
3 - 0
TOU
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOU
1 - 2
VIM
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
USM
1 - 1
TOU
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
TOU
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |