Lille II vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
21
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
LIL
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 0
SAI
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 0
LIL
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 2
LIL
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
PDC
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRI
3 - 1
COM
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COM
1 - 2
LPV
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
VAL
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |