Lille II vs Alfortville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 1
LIL
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 2
AAC
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AVI
2 - 0
LIL
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 1
LIL
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 3
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
ALF
56%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 1
COM
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AUX
3 - 1
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 0
POI
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |