Lija vs Vittoriosa Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
5º
4º
11
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIJ
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIJ
3 - 2
MQA
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
0 - 1
LIJ
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIJ
0 - 1
MAR
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
LIJ
31%
22%
47%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vittoriosa Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
SAI
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
QRE
2 - 2
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 3
ATT
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 2
SWI
15%
21%
64%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |