Lija vs Marsa FC analysis

Lija Marsa FC
43 ELO 48
11.4% Tilt 38.3%
4531º General ELO ranking 3576º
27º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
35.8%
Lija
23.1%
Draw
41.1%
Marsa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
Lija
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.1%
Win probability
Marsa FC
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lija
-40%
+41%
Marsa FC

Points and table prediction

Lija
Their league position
Marsa FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swieqi United
23
23
100%
Saint Andrews
17
18
100%
San Gwann
16
16
100%
Lija
16
16
16%
Attard
15
15
16%
Marsaskala
13
14
0%
Fgura United FC
13
14
40%
Qrendi
13
14
48%
Vittoriosa Stars
11
11
100%
Marsa FC
10º
10
10
10º
100%
Mtarfa
11º
7
7
11º
100%
Mqabba FC
12º
6
6
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lija
Marsa FC
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Lija
Marsa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lija
Lija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
MAR
Marsaskala
1 - 3
Lija
LIJ
31%
22%
47%
43 41 2 0
08 Jan. 2023
ZUR
Zurrieq FC
5 - 1
Lija
LIJ
47%
23%
30%
44 48 4 -1
20 Dec. 2022
LIJ
Lija
2 - 2
Swieqi United
SWI
44%
24%
32%
44 46 2 0
16 Dec. 2022
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
3 - 2
Lija
LIJ
63%
20%
17%
44 56 12 0
13 Dec. 2022
MEL
Melita
2 - 2
Lija
LIJ
56%
21%
23%
44 51 7 0

Matches

Marsa FC
Marsa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
MAR
Marsa FC
0 - 2
Saint Andrews
SAI
58%
21%
21%
48 45 3 0
07 Jan. 2023
SAI
Saint Andrews
2 - 3
Marsa FC
MAR
35%
24%
41%
48 46 2 0
21 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marsa FC
2 - 2
Attard
ATT
61%
21%
18%
48 44 4 0
18 Dec. 2022
FUN
Fgura United FC
0 - 0
Marsa FC
MAR
39%
24%
37%
48 47 1 0
15 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marsa FC
2 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
77%
15%
8%
47 36 11 +1
X