Ligorna vs Sporting Recco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 2
LIG
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 3
MPO
49%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 2
LIG
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
3 - 1
FCV
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FBC
0 - 0
LIG
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Recco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
SAV
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 3
VMO
17%
20%
64%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
SPO
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MPO
3 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
USR
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |