Ligorna vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FEZ
2 - 1
LIG
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
USR
21%
20%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 3
FEZ
38%
23%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GOZ
6 - 3
LIG
67%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
ACQ
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAV
0 - 2
JMO
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 2
SAV
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAV
2 - 5
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ACP
3 - 1
SAV
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
PIS
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |