Ligorna vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 0
LIG
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
SAV
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FEZ
2 - 1
LIG
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
USR
21%
20%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 3
FEZ
38%
23%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 4
GRO
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 2
JMO
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 2
GAV
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GAV
1 - 0
MAS
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 0
GAV
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |