Ligorna vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
LIG
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
LIG
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 3
PIN
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
2 - 2
LIG
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
VOG
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 1
CHI
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
FEZ
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 2
BEL
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
FEZ
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 0
ASD
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |