Ligorna vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 1
LIG
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SDT
2 - 0
LIG
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAS
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LIG
0 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
URI
1 - 1
LIG
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FCV
3 - 1
SDT
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GHI
2 - 2
FCV
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 4
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FCV
1 - 3
LAV
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
FCV
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |