Liga de Quito vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
LIG
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
LIG
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
EME
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 3
LIG
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
LIG
3 - 0
DEL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
UCE
4 - 0
TEC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
EME
2 - 3
UCE
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
DEL
5 - 2
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
UCE
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |