Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 8-5
Liga de Quito vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
OLM
0 - 3
LIG
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
USF
4 - 2
LIG
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LIG
0 - 1
EME
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
UCE
2 - 1
LIG
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
UCE
2 - 1
LIG
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SWA
2 - 1
USF
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
USF
4 - 2
LIG
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
USF
1 - 2
UCH
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
HUA
1 - 1
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
USF
1 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |