Liga de Quito vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
UCE
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 0
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 0
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
SLO
34%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 0
LIG
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
3 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAC
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |