Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-5
Liga de Quito vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
STR
2 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LOJ
2 - 2
LIG
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
LIG
1 - 2
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LIG
1 - 2
OLM
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIG
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
STR
2 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
STR
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
JWI
0 - 0
STR
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +2 |