Copa Libertadores Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-2
Liga de Quito vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
LIG
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
LIG
1 - 2
EME
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 1
AUC
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 2
LIG
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 0
ORE
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
SCI
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAH
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |