Liga de Quito vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
ROC
3 - 2
LIG
38%
24%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
4 - 2
AUC
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
ROC
3 - 2
LIG
38%
24%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 2
REN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ROC
4 - 2
DAN
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LFC
1 - 0
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |