Liga de Quito vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
CUE
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 1
LIG
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
UCE
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
4 - 0
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 3
TEC
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 4
BSC
19%
27%
53%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
CUE
31%
27%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |