Liga de Quito vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EME
0 - 2
LIG
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 2
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 3
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
RIV
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
BSC
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
RIV
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
5 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |