Liga de Quito vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 0
BIN
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TEC
0 - 5
LIG
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
BIN
0 - 1
LIG
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 1
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
DEL
4 - 1
MUS
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 0
LDU
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 2
BSC
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
ORE
0 - 2
MUS
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |