Liga de Quito vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
CRZ
4 - 1
LIG
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 0
LIG
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
LIG
1 - 3
CRZ
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
ALI
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
CUE
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1978 |
IND
1 - 1
QUI
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
HUR
1 - 0
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
IND
1 - 1
EST
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
COL
1 - 2
IND
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
IND
1 - 3
ARG
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |