Liga de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 1
LIG
39%
30%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
BSC
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
AUC
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
FAM
3 - 0
CUE
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
5 - 0
FAM
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
NAC
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 1
FAM
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 1
RIV
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |