Primera A Finals Final
Global 2-1
Liga de Quito vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 0
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
EME
0 - 0
LIG
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 3
LIG
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
4 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 2
EME
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
EME
0 - 0
LIG
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
EME
0 - 0
IVT
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 4
EME
13%
23%
65%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |