Liga de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
BSC
2 - 3
LIG
40%
29%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
LIG
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LIG
3 - 0
LOJ
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
LIG
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 1
IMB
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 0
MAN
53%
27%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CUE
0 - 0
BSC
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BSC
2 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |