Liga de Quito vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIG
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
EME
2 - 2
LIG
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
CUE
2 - 0
LOJ
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 1
BSC
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TEC
3 - 0
LOJ
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 1
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
CUE
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |