Copa Ecuador Final
Global 3-3
Liga de Quito vs Delfín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LIG
5 - 2
FAM
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
EME
2 - 0
LIG
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CUE
1 - 0
LIG
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
DEL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 0
DEL
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
DEL
3 - 0
BSC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 1
AME
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
DEL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
BSC
4 - 1
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |