Liga de Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 2
LIG
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIG
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
DEL
2 - 1
LIG
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UCE
3 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |