Liga de Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
LIG
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CUE
0 - 2
LIG
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LIG
1 - 2
CUE
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
QUI
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 2
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |