Liga de Quito vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UCE
3 - 1
LIG
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIG
0 - 0
EME
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
OLM
1 - 0
LIG
46%
29%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 2
OLM
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
EME
3 - 0
LIG
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 3
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BSC
2 - 0
IVT
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 5
IVT
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 1
IVT
27%
29%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |