Liga de Quito vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIG
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
LIG
1 - 1
OLM
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
LIG
0 - 1
EME
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
LIG
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
EME
1 - 0
LIG
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
IMB
0 - 1
IVT
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
IVT
4 - 1
DPT
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UCE
1 - 2
IVT
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
IVT
1 - 0
LOJ
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |