Primera A Finals Final
Global 5-4
Liga de Quito vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
TEC
1 - 2
LIG
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LIG
6 - 3
CLA
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CUE
1 - 3
LIG
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 4
EME
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 0
LIG
39%
29%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
TEC
1 - 2
LIG
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
TEC
4 - 3
LDU
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
TEC
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
AUC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 2
TEC
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |