Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DEL
3 - 2
LIG
40%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IMB
4 - 0
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
BSC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
CUE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
IMB
1 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
CFC
69%
19%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
NAC
9%
17%
75%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |