Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
1º
1º
11
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 23 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 22 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 20 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 16 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
29.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IMB
4 - 0
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
BSC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
CUE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
CAL
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
LIG
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
CFC
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
NAC
9%
17%
75%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |