Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 0
LIG
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TEC
0 - 2
LIG
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 3
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 0
BSC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
LIG
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
UCE
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
BSC
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
OLM
0 - 2
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CUE
2 - 2
NAC
37%
26%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |