Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 1
LIG
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
4 - 1
RIV
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
CUE
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 1
LIG
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CUE
2 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
UCE
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |