Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 2
LOJ
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
LIG
37%
30%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UCE
1 - 0
LIG
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 1
CUE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
LIG
0 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
LIG
0 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |