Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
LIG
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
4 - 0
LIG
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIG
51%
22%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
0 - 0
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
1 - 0
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
9%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIG
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |