Liga de Quito vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
OLM
1 - 0
LIG
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LIG
1 - 1
CUE
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIG
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 1
GLP
53%
25%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
ARG
0 - 0
VEL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 2
INS
69%
21%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
LAN
0 - 4
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |